Plural Vote poll shows Virginia race to be a nailbiter; Democrat Ralph Northam holds slim 3-point lead with likely voters
Our statistical prediction factors in a combination of polls, their historical accuracy, and past returns in order to forecast this competitive race
A new Target-Insyght poll reveals that not only is Trump still popular with Michigan voters, but he has also gained support in the once-Democratic state since his election, now being approved of by 49% of voters, which is 1.5 points higher than the percentage of voters he was elected with.
The fact that Virginia voters are treating the race as a referendum on Trump is helping Democrat Ralph Northam - but he can capitalize on Trump's unpopularity and the Democratic-leaning national environment even further. Virginia voters shift anti-Trump, and Northam isn't winning everybody who is anti-Trump
Consistently, according to much of public opinion polling data, Americans favor significant reductions in legal immigration, support cuts in number of refugee admissions, and signal widespread support for a more merit-based immigration system.