Plural Vote - About Plural Vote
About Plural Vote
Driven by data, we statistically analyze elections, current events, policy decisions, and legislation in order to get to the bottom of important issues.
Posted under PLURAL VOTE
Published 3 years ago
1
Minutes
0
Comments
Plural Vote is an independent, non-partisan, data-driven news site, run by Sean Le Van. We statistically analyze elections, current events, policy decisions, and legislation in order to get to the bottom of important issues relevant to our time.

We have cultivated a track record of accuracy. We gave the Democrats a 67% chance of winning the majority of seats in the 2018 midterms, and we forecasted ~95% of the seats correctly.

We try our best to portray the world's diverse political climate through numbers. We seperate the wheat from the chaff by weeding out the noise of punditry and replacing it with numerical insights.

You can access insights from Plural Vote from anywhere - whether it be on our website or on Twitter. Feel free to contact us by email as well.
Written by PLURAL VOTE. This article was last updated on 4/10/2018.
Read onTRENDING
1
VOTING RIGHTS
How long were 2020 voting lines by metro area?
Using wait times regressed on search trends for the 2016 election, we have estimated 2020 wait times by metro area. Browse below.
CONTINUE READING»
2
FORECAST
Will Democrats or Republicans win control of the House in 2022?
Our statistical model based on polls, voting history, and inter-district similarity forecasts Republicans having a 49.8% probability of a majority.
CONTINUE READING»
3
FORECAST
Is Trump or Biden winning the race for president?
Our model depends on polls to predict vote outcomes. Past polling error informs our modelling of the uncertainty of our predictions. We model the probabilities using the beta, weibull, and logistic distributions. The Electoral College vote and probability is estimated using 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. With 218 days left, our poll-based statistical model forecasts that Biden has a 68% probability of winning the Electoral College on election day.
CONTINUE READING»
4
FORECAST
Will Democrats or Republicans win control of the House?
Our statistical model based on polls, voting history, and inter-district similarity forecasts Democrats having a 72.7% probability of a majority.
CONTINUE READING»
5
2020 ELECTION
Biden is outperforming 2016 in the Sun Belt by 9.6 points as he takes the lead in Texas and Georgia
Compared to 2012, the trend towards the Democrats in the Sun Belt is even more staggering — 10.6 points more for Vice President Biden than President Obama.
CONTINUE READING»
More articles