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Who will control the House of Representatives?
In our statistical model, we factor in national generic ballot polling, the partisan intensity of all of the nation's 435 districts, and each incumbent's strength as a candidate to form a comprehensive 2018 House of Representatives forecast.
Our forecast fluctuates on a day-to-day basis as we update it for newly-vacated seats, candidate primary results, and polls.

Last updated: Friday 04/27/2018
Probability of winning House majority
51.7% 48.3%
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